TOM has released our latest NCAA Division I team rankings for both tournaments. Our rankings use match-by-match data, supplied by our friends at WrestleStat, to project how each wrestler is likely to perform against various tiers of opponents. For the tournament rankings, we walk through the NCAA tournament as if the wrestlers were seeded where they are currently ranked, projecting the average number of advancement, placement, and bonus points for each likely NCAA qualifier. We then total the points to produce our team projections.
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North Carolina State
South Dakota State
The regular season and conference tournaments told us a lot about many things, but as we get set for the NCAA tournament, the Division I title race appears to be exactly where we expected it to be back in November. Penn State and Ohio State are separated from the rest of the field by a little more than some may have thought, but it will be a battle between those two teams that is currently too close to call. The race for third continues to be wide open with Michigan seizing the upper hand after a strong Big Ten tournament, while Iowa falls all the way to sixth mostly due to Alex Marinelli (Iowa) taking his first three losses of the season. Oklahoma State and Missouri are well positioned to make a run at a team trophy and the top eight all seem to have a legitimate chance to do so. Last season, our pre-NCAA tournament rankings proved pretty accurate, especially at the top. Let's take a look back at the final projections and the 2017 team scores.
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