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TOM’s NCAA DI Wrestling Team Rankings – Tournament – Mar. 7th, 2018

TOM has released our latest NCAA Division I team rankings for both tournaments.  Our rankings use match-by-match data, supplied by our friends at WrestleStat, to project how each wrestler is likely to perform against various tiers of opponents.  For the tournament rankings, we walk through the NCAA tournament as if the wrestlers were seeded where they are currently ranked, projecting the average number of advancement, placement, and bonus points for each likely NCAA qualifier.  We then total the points to produce our team projections.

For TOM Prime members, check below the rankings for an in-depth breakdown of the rankings and what to look for going forward.  Not a Prime member yet? Join TOM Prime today!

Rank School Points
1 Penn State 142
2 Ohio State 140
3 Michigan 87
4 Missouri 81
5 Oklahoma State 75
6 Iowa 73
7 North Carolina State 68
8 Lehigh 63
9 Virginia Tech 53
10 Arizona State 52
11 Cornell 47
12 Illinois 36
13 Rutgers 34
14 Wyoming 30
15 South Dakota State 29
16 Northwestern 28
17 Nebraska 24
18 Northern Iowa 24
19 Minnesota 23
20 Oregon State 21
21 Duke 19
22 Central Michigan 19
23 Rider 18
24 Drexel 18
25 Lock Haven 18

The regular season and conference tournaments told us a lot about many things, but as we get set for the NCAA tournament, the Division I title race appears to be exactly where we expected it to be back in November.  Penn State and Ohio State are separated from the rest of the field by a little more than some may have thought, but it will be a battle between those two teams that is currently too close to call.  The race for third continues to be wide open with Michigan seizing the upper hand after a strong Big Ten tournament, while Iowa falls all the way to sixth mostly due to Alex Marinelli (Iowa) taking his first three losses of the season.  Oklahoma State and Missouri are well positioned to make a run at a team trophy and the top eight all seem to have a legitimate chance to do so.  Last season, our pre-NCAA tournament rankings proved pretty accurate, especially at the top.  Let's take a look back at the final projections and the 2017 team scores.

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